Texas AM -3 3.3% play

This is a huge must win game for the Aggies if they want to get to a bowl game.  This is only Florida’s second true road game of the season and they have lost their last 5 SEC road games.  I think the Aggies found something in their 5* freshman QB who had 338 passing yards against Ole Miss last week in their 28-31 loss.  He should have more success this week against Florida, and possibly even more as Florida’s defense is worse than Ole Miss.  Florida ranks 119th in epa run defense, 98th in epa pass defense, 131st in 3rd down defense, 95th in sack %.  This is another game for A&M’s offense to get right, while the Aggies defense has struggled themselves they have shown stretches of dominance, and overall rank 60th in ypp allowed compared to Florida’s 116th ranking.  So. I’ll take the better defense at home against a Florida offense that is one dimensional.  Ole Miss was a top 50 run offense and top 50 pass offense, while Florida ranks 112th in QB rating, 102nd in epa passing offense.  I think the Aggies defense has a better performance, and their offense should have a better performance as they get a big time win.

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