UAB -4.5 2.2% PLAY

Straight fade of FAU who is now 9-18-1 ATS under Willie Taggart.  UAB could be without their starting QB here, but that won't matter as they run the ball 66% of the time rank 7th in ypc, going up against FAU who is 109th in ypc defense.  This play is more about the fact that FAU struggles when they face good defenses. UAB ranks 27th in ypp defense while FAU ranks 69th on offense, but FAU has faced an average 98th ranked ypp defense so this year they are even worse.  They would used to blow out the bad defenses on their schedules and struggle vs. good defenses, but this year they are even struggling vs. the bad to average defenses.  N'kosi Perry had 3 INT against UAB last year, and UAB ranks 26th in defensive TO percentage.  Look for UAB to control this game, and it doesn't help that FAU wants to play fast which makes this spread even more interesting.