Florida State +3.5 2.2% play

Florida State +3.5  2.2% play / FSU +155 1% ML Bonus

I’m not sold on this Clemson team, and this line tells a true story.  How is it that Clemson is only a 3.5 point favorite here?  Well a deeper look and these two teams played the same 3 teams the last 3 weeks, and both went 2-1 ATS with similar statistics.  Also worth noting that Florida State +1.8 ypp against tougher competition compared to Clemson +1.4 ypp.  I also would argue that Florida State, and not Clemson has the better QB in this match up.  Jordan Travis is a difference maker, and while they lost last week against NC State because of two interceptions I am confident he bounces back here.  On paper Clemson has the better defense and Florida State has the better offense, but again Florida State has faced tougher competition.  Florida State is at home here at night in their biggest game in years and I think they pull the outright upset.