Rutgers +7 2.2% play
By brand it seems like Rutgers is the far worse team, and that is giving us some value in the line in my opinion, but closer looks reveals the fact that Rutgers is playing in the tougher conference Big Ten and had similar statistics last year against a far tougher schedule. For instance their opponents average YPP differential was +0.16, while BC’s were -0.32.
There are also a ton of familiarities between these two staffs, which means to me a close game. Hafley coached on Schiano’s staff at Rutgers and in the NFL, and both OC/DC, ST coordinators for Illinois coached under Schiano as well.
BC breaks in a new OC, and 5 new starters on the offensive line, while Rutgers strength is in the secondary they have great depth on the DL, and I think this game goes down to the wire. Rutgers should get better QB play this year, and they played much better in the early part of last season and should have an edge on special teams here.
