Toledo +8.5 3.3% play / Toledo +290 1% play
I think there is a ton of value here with Toledo when you look at their offense and you look at what Western Michigan has faced this year. Toledo has a balanced offense with a ton of weapons. Western Michigan also has a ton of pressure on them and finally an opponent that is good enough to upset them here. If Toledo was at home and not on a short week I would be calling for the upset, but instead I’m just going to call for the win. Toledo’s QB, Logan Woodside has been arguably the best QB in the nation with 40 TD passes to just 7 interceptions 70% completion rate, 9.9 yards per attempt. Western Michigan obviously an impressive offense, but Toledo’s defense is a little better in my opinion and they have faced a tougher schedule. Western Michigan has also really relied on winning the turnover margin at +15 this year they have not lost it in a single game. Toledo has just 11 turnovers overall which should keep them in this game.

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