Central Mich +105 3* play
I'm going with the Chippewas here being at home. Listen both teams have equal amount to play for and are playing very similar type football against similar opponents. Both teams will run the ball first at 56%+ of the time and when you look at the details public perception is a bit skewed. First of all Central Michigan can run the ball, but they don't rely as heavily on an effective running game to win. Central Mich is rushing the ball 4.56 ypc in conference play compared to Western Michigan's 4.40. Western Michigan leans heavily on Javion Franklin, but he's not 100% with an ankle injury and Central Michigan's defense is better at stuffing the run.

Western Michigan is allowing 4.38 on the road and 3.73 in conference play while Central Michigan is allowing 3.11 in conference play. Both rushing offense are helped by their passing offenses that average over 8 yards per attempt and have been great in conference play. Bottom line is both teams are playing very similarly and Central Michigan is home feeling like they are a 10 point under dog. I bet they come out and get the win.