Florida -6.5 1.1% Free play

Nappier has been in the building for Florida, and I think this team will care a little bit about playing an instate opponent in UCF.  They showed up in a spot against Florida State where I did not think they would, and I would think that the players want to show up here in their bowl game to show their skills to either another FBS team they may transfer to or the new Florida coaching staff.  On the flip side UCF's defense is very poor against the run ranking 88th in epa, and expect Florida to be able to score points.  This is a much different UCF offense under Malzahn.