Alabama -20 2.2% play
I believe this game matters big for Alabama. They have lost 3 of their last 4 trips to Auburn, but it’s not Bryan Harsin who has given Nick Saban issues. That verdict is still out on that. Alabama needs to win big to avoid any suggestions that a close loss to Georgia in the SEC Championship should eliminate them. Saban knows how dangerous this Auburn team can be in the Iron Bowl, I believe the close wins to Arkansas and LSU will have their full attention. Those close wins against Arkansas and LSU that are drawing criticism, and this is their last opportunity to put that to bed with a big win. I enjoyed betting on Auburn this year they have won me a lot of money, and Bo Nix shut some of his critics up for his play on the road, but TJ Finley takes over at QB For Nix who broke is ankle and is out for the season, but busy making remarks about Alabama and how the refs are giving them calls.
TJ Finley really isn’t a P5 starting QB in my opinion. We haven’t seen him much, but he’s not the type to give Alabama issues, and Alabama’s defensive weakness is vs. the pass. I don’t see Auburn being able to take advantage. I see Auburn having a few three and outs, and I don’t know how Auburn will be able to hold up in this game. Finley in limited action this year 52.3% completion percentage, and last year with LSU 57.1% 5 TD/ 5 int. Finley started against Alabama last year with LSU at home, and they lost 55-17. He complete just 50% of his passes 5.1 yds/attempt and added 6 carries for -12 yards and converted 5-15 on third down, 1-3 on 4th, and 0-2 in red zone TD%..
