Purdue +3 3.3% play
Michigan State off a huge come from behind win against their rival Michigan and they are 8-0 maybe looking ahead on their schedule past Purdue? I love the match up here and we saw struggles from Michigan State on the road against Rutgers it was a 14-13 game late in the 2nd quarter before Michigan State’s WR Nailor hit them with a 65 yard reception. In fact Rutgers gave up 63, 65, and 63 yard TD’s to Nailor and a 94 yard run. Purdue is 9th in 10+ yard plays allowed, and rank 11th in epa pass defense, and Nailor is ? for this game. They went on the road to face Indiana, and were outgained, but came away with the 20-15 win, because Indiana could not score in the red zone. Purdue could have much of the same issues that Indiana had, but I think Purdue’s offense which is pass heavy matches up well against the weakness of Michigan State, which is their pass defense. Michigan State ranks 113th in 10+ yard passing plays allowed while Purdue ranks 12th in 10+ yard passing plays. I think David Bell has a big game, and Purdue just got back Sr. veteran Anthrop to add some depth. Purdue 19-7 ATS last 26 as a dog, 8-3 ATS in their last 11 as a home dog, the dog is 9-1-1 ATS in the last 11 meetings, and Purdue already proven they can win these big games against ranked opponents as they knocked off Iowa on the road with ease. We were on that game and we are on Purdue here.
