LA Tech +6 2.2% Free Play
UTSA is #24 team ranked going on the road to play Louisiana Tech who lost this game on the road by 1 point. I think this is a good match up for Louisiana Tech’s offense, which relies on the passing attack, and that aligns with the weakness of UTSA’s defense, which ranks 80th in QB rating defense, and 52nd in epa pass defense. Louisiana Tech put up 34 points against a good Miss State defense, and 27 against a good NC State defense.
UTSA’s offense relies on their running game, and that also matches up well with Louisiana Tech’s defensive strength. Louisiana Tech is 70th in ypc, but their epa run defense ranks 34th. Their defense also has the ability to force turnovers ranking 34th in defensive turnover % per possession. The problem has been their offense also turns the ball over. If QB Austin Kendall can play a cleaner game at home Louisiana Tech wins this game outright. Skip Holtz has been a money printing machine as a dog over his career.
