LA Tech +6 2.2% Free Play

UTSA is #24 team ranked going on the road to play Louisiana Tech who lost this game on the road by 1 point.  I think this is a good match up for Louisiana Tech’s offense, which relies on the passing attack, and that aligns with the weakness of UTSA’s defense, which ranks 80^th in QB rating defense, and 52^nd in epa pass defense.  Louisiana Tech put up 34 points against a good Miss State defense, and 27 against a good NC State defense.

UTSA’s offense relies on their running game, and that also matches up well with Louisiana Tech’s defensive strength.  Louisiana Tech is 70^th in ypc, but their epa run defense ranks 34^th.  Their defense also has the ability to force turnovers ranking 34^th in defensive turnover % per possession.  The problem has been their offense also turns the ball over.   If QB Austin Kendall can play a cleaner game at home Louisiana Tech wins this game outright.  Skip Holtz has been a money printing machine as a dog over his career.