Clemson -13.5 2.2% play
I'm buying low here on the Tigers, and I think they had a little momentum going into their bye when they were able to get the running game going wiht 231 rushing yards against BC. I think they can get the running game going here tonight while Clemson has been good from a ypc perspective they rank 86th in epa run defense. The average epa run defense that Clemson has faced this year ranks 16.75, so this is a good match up for Clemson. I really think we will see the running game work a bit, and for DJ to have his best game at QB against Syracuse pass defense that ranks 96th in QB rating. Clemson still has the skill position talent at WR, and I think the bye will help them all get on the same page.
Defensively Clemson has been stout and although they spent a ton of time on the field, which was starting to hurt this team the bye came at the right time. Syracuse is a completely one dimensional offense led by the Miss State transfer QB Schrader who over his last two games carried the ball 45 times for 315 yards. I just don't see that working against Clemson and Syracuse ranks 109th in QB rating 106th in epa pass offense. I think Clemson can really dominate defensively, and Syracuse will really struggle to put up any points. I just don't know where the points are going to come from here. Clemson also has an advantage in special teams ranking 26th vs. 100th ranking for Syracuse. Clemson can really turn their season around, and I think it starts tonight by getting the team's confidence back, and the only way to do that is to go into the Carrier Dome where they have had issues in the past and pull the upset. The last 6 meetings between these two the spread was on average 30.25 points.
