Miami -6 1.1% Free PLay
Nobody has faced a tougher schedule to start the season than Miami facing App State and Alabama. We clearly have some line value here with an 0-2ATS team taking on a 2-0 ATS team. Two key factors why I like Miami this week. D’eriq King seems to be back after rushing for 79 yards a week ago, and the havoc Miami’s defenses typically cause opposing offenses. Michigan State has not played anyone, and getting far too much respect here for a unit that was really bad last year, outside the top 100. I don’t see them continuing to dominate and they faced an FCS foe, and a Northwestern team that had to replace more starters than anyone else in the country. The speed of Miami, in the hot humid Florida weather will ultimately be the difference as Miami will be able to force some turnovers, and King will lead his team to a victory to get their season back on track. Michigan State’s defense did give up 70% completion 3 TD and 0INT to Northwestern, and King is much more dynamic player.
