USC -165 3.5% PLAY

I missed the -2.5 yesterday, but still feel confident in USC, but I feel the money line offers mor evalue at this point.  UCLA is a nice story as it appears Chip Kelly is finally turning the team around, but really I’m not sure what beating Cal, Arizona and Arizona State means in this shortened season.  They have faced just one top 80 passing team, which was Oregon and lost 35-38, while Oregon has since lost to Cal, and Oregon State.  UCLA also gave up 52, and 67 points to air raid offenses last year, and they rank 104th in TO margin while USC ranks 3rd.  The overall #’s for UCLA’s defense has been positive ranking 36th vs. the run 27th vs. the pass, but their 80th ranked success rate defense concerns me, their 74th EPA run defense concerns me, and their weak schedule opponents who can pass the ball concerns me.  Take USC on the money line to win the game.

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