San Jose State +9 3.3% play

San Diego State thus far has two dominant wins and covers, and are easily 2-0 ATS, but the strength of schedule is an obvious reason why.  I bet Utah State last week against San Diego State, but it was a bad bet, and given how Utah State looked against Nevada last week it’s safe to say that maybe just maybe San Diego State is not as good as they have looked over the first few weeks.  San Diego State has played Utah State & UNLV, and they are two of the worst teams in success rate offense and defense in the country.  It’s a small sample, but I have a lot of questions for San Diego State with a new coaching staff, and I think there is value in this number, because San Jose State also has looked good.

San Jose State in their first two games held rushing teams under their totals that they averaged last year.  They held an Air force offense that ran all over Navy 369 yards, and Boise 415 yards to 206 yards and 4.20 ypc, and 0 rushing TD’s.  That is amazing when you consider the key to this game will be stopping the run.  San Jose State should stay in this game if they can continue to play good run defense and force San Diego State into third down and longs.  The strength of San Jose State’s offense is their receivers and passing game led by TX A&M/ Arkansas transfer Nick Starkel who has some confidence after throwing 5 TD’s 0 INT’s against New Mexico’s defense which is coached by San Diego State’s former HC Rocky Long.

I’m not a big supporter for the Brady Hoke hire for San Diego State, hence why I’m fading them this week again.  Also think that San Jose State has some momentum.  They proved they could win on the road last year with big wins at Army, and Arkansas.  I wouldn’t be shocked if they pull the upset her.