Iowa State +3 4.4% Play 

There is no way that Oklahoma State is the #6 team in the nation.  Their defense has carried them and they rank as a top defense, but they haven’t faced an offense that is top 50 out of 77 teams at rushing or passing, and Iowa State comes in ranking top 30 in both led by Purdy at QB, and a dynamic running back in Breece Hall.  Iowa State 19-7-2 ATS run as a dog, and they have revenge on their mind as they lost by a TD last year after they turned the ball over 3 times.

Oklahoma State was outgained by West Virginia, and they nearly were upset by Tulsa.  This is an Oklahoma State getting a ton of credit in the off season, but I think Iowa State whom after their upset loss to Louisiana to start the year has been able to rebound well, and are starting to kick it in gear for a Big 12 Championship run. 

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