Ole Miss +21.5 2.2% play
37% of the tickets on Ole Miss here. LSU has all of the pressure, and there is no incentive to run it up against Ole Miss other than the fact that Ed Orgeron used to coach here, and got fired, and he’s wanted to run it up in the past, but I think he needs to be smarter than that. Ole Miss has a very good pass rush, that ranks 30th in sack % at home and is 2nd in the SEC in sacks. Their run defense also ranks 30th in the country and both stats are better than Alabama’s. LSU is playing with some depth issues on their offensive line missing two starting tackles and a backup. Ole Miss has the ability to put you in obvious passing situations, and really get after the QB. So, does LSU turn into old LSU and get a little conservative here knowing they have nothing to prove? Mike MaCyntire really has this defense playing extremely well of late, and in conference play this defense has allowed only 42% TD’s in the red zone, and we know LSU’s kicker has had some issues. I could see LSU going for it a few times down here on a 4th down and not getting it. We did see that in their road game against Miss State.
Ole Miss is a threat with their offense with one of the best running games in the county led by their QB. LSU can certainly contain him, but they also have some guys that are beat up on the defensive front, and in their 4 road games they have allowed 38, 38, 13, and 41 points. Ole Miss should have some tricks up their sleeve for this game. I think LSU wins in the end, but 21.5 points is the highest spread in this series that the home team has won in 6 of the last 7 years since 2011!
