Syracuse +10.5 2% Play / Syracuse +340 0.5% bonus

Buy low game of the week here with Syracuse who is 0-5 ATS over their last 5 games, but they come off a bye week, and according to HC Dino Babers who fired his DC over the bye week they have had energetic practices and the team still believes they can run the table and get to a bowl game.  This team does have good defensive personal so I think the move with the DC was a good move that should at least give the team one game bump which is what we usually see with these changes.  

Duke’s offense has been really bad this year.  They rank 122nd in yards per play, 99th in rushing ypc, and 116th in QB rating. Syracuse has had a tough schedule of offenses and have only faced two teams that are balanced in the respect of being bad throwing the ball and bad running the ball.  NC State, and surprisingly Pitt rank among the worst in the nation in these categories, and Syracuse defense kept them in both of those games. Although they lost 10-16, and 20-27 they were in the games. Duke really has no business laying double digits here, and I’m happy to grab the points going against a Duke team that has turned the ball over 16 times in the last 5 games.  The one thing Syracuse has done well on the season is limit the turnovers. They rank 21st in TO margin, and if they win the margin here they could pull the outright upset.