I will take the Lions here in this spot as the Cowboys really have not played well at home this year with all 4 of their losses coming here. I really do not trust either QB in this spot, but the Lions defense is much better than the Cowboys and they match up well being able to defend the run. They were #1 in stopping the run this year and allowed the 2nd fewest points and yards. They also did all of this with a more challenging schedule.
The Cowboys have been able to hide some of their defensive weaknesses this year by controlling the game with the ground game, but they enter this game with Demarco Murray having nearly 400 carries, around 80 more than any other back. I think it's a high risk play against a physical defense to back the Cowboys as a TD favorite. I could easily see Dallas defense getting into trouble against Detroit if they are on the field for too long. I will take the team with the better defense getting this many points especially when their strength equally matches the strength of the opponent.
