San Diego State's defense is elite and is allowing just 8 ppg and 248 yards per game. I think we are catching value here with the Aztecs because they barely got by Weber State 6-0, and then you see Utah State's offense that scored 62 points in their last game, but Weber State is top 15 FCS team. San Diego STate was 6-1 last year before injuries hit the team hard, and they finished 4-4.

Rocky Long is one of the nation's best coaches, 34-15-1 ATS in conference the last 6 years, and is 5-0-1 ATS As a home dog. Utah State is getting a lot of Love, because of what their QB Jordan Love has done, and he's an NFL prospect, but he had 3 interceptions against Wake Forest, he is throwing behind a new offensive line and is going up against San Diego State who is #5 in havoc rate. San Diego State +5 in TO Margin this season, and they don't give up big plays ranking 28th in explosive defense. I think they hang in this game, and win the turnover battle and the game.