Baylor/UTSA Over 57.5 2.2% play 

This game is taking place in 102 degree heat, and I think both teams will struggle on defense given the fact that they have stronger offenses at this point in time.  Baylor even under Matt Rhule continues to run a lot of plays per game and ranked 7th last year at 80 per game.  Their offense should improve yet again as they return 8 offensive starters and a veteran offensive line.

UTSA also returns 8 players on offense, and just 5 on defense.  They have a new offensive coordinator who is already showing signs of moving significantly faster with 84 plays in game 1 which was 7 plays more than their highest total a year ago.  I think we see a lot of offense, and the higher temperatures tend to go that way especially with a team like Baylor that wants to play fast.