Texas State +7 4.4% NCAAF POD
Wyoming is just 2-4 ATS under Boh as a road favorite, and they have to do it this week after a home upset of Missouri where their fans rushed the field. First of all that was a completely misleading final. So many things happened in that game including turnovers from Missouri that led to 10 points, but also took away 14 points form Missouri which was a 24 point swing.
Texas State stays in their home state, and have 2 extra days to prepare and rest which is a big deal in my opinion. I really like the head coach hiring of Jake Savital, and I think their offense will look a lot better this week against Wyomin's secondary, a unit that lost two 4 year starters who were the glue of that defense. It certainly showed as Kelly Bryant passed for 423 yards, and Bryant is not really known for his arm. In all they lost 100 starters in the secondary, and it will be a tough match-up for Wyoming as Texas State under OC Bob Stitt, and HC Spavital have made it pretty clear they will throw the ball.
Texas State did not play well at Texas A&M, but I'm going to give them a pass considering they played a borderline top 10 team, on the road at night @ Kyle Field in front of 98,000 fans. What I like most about Texas State is they return 10 starters from a unit that ranked 43rd in yards per play allowed facing an average opponent offense ranking 66th in ypp on offense. They have the best LB's in the Sun Belt, and they go up against a one dimensional Wyoming unit. I don't think SEan Chambers can pass the ball he was 6-16, and I think it will lead to some mistakes by Wyoming.
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