I'm going with Oregon State here as the defensive team going against an offensive team. Oregon State and Washington State are being said to be evenly matched based on this spread. Washington State was just an 11.5 point dog at Washington meanwhile Oregon State was a 7 point dog vs. Washington so I really see that this spread should be -1 or a pk for this game, but because Washington State has just won three straight games SU and ATS as an under dog in conference play we have to respect them, but I just feel the more balanced team is Oregon State. They also come off a loss where they have been especially dangerous going 21-8-2 ATS in their last 31. They have a top 50 defense and WAshington State has gone just 3-3 vs. top 100 defenses. Washington State relies on the 3 ball way too much and are shooting it 43% of the time at home, but Oregon State is 12th in the nation at defending the 3.

On the flip side we have Washington State here who is a top 100 offense ranked 74th in adjusted offense. Oregon State has gone 4-2 vs. top 100 offenses and when they face a defense that's outside the top 200 they are 6-0. Defense really carries a team on the road and I love the guard play of Oregon State led by Gary Payton (yes the son of Gary Payton). He's a reason why they are so good defending the 3 and rank top 20 in turnover % defense. This team is also ranked 75th in rebounding % compared with Wash State who is 148th. They just are flat out the better team and not being treated as such.


Pepperdine nearly almost upset Gonzaga in their last game and I feel they will be due for a let down as this is a step down in competition. They lost by 2 to Gonzaga and playing Portland next really is not that sexy, but Portland does have a top 75 offense and Pepperdine is now 1-5 vs. top 100 offensive teams. I think this line is off a bit and will end up being decided by 1 score down the stretch.

Where to find Freddy?