App State / UL Lafayette Under 58 3.3% play 

This game was a 27-17 final when they faced off earlier in the year.  Both teams love to run the ball, and both defenses do not give up a ton of explosive plays as App State ranks 9th, while Lafayette ranks 57th.  The weather also is supposed to be very windy at 13 mph, but gusts of 33-37mph during this game.  I expect conservative approach when App State gets up and Lafayette can not throw as they rank 100th in QB rating, and run the ball 60% of the time.