Washington was a 4.5 point favorite on the road at Utah, who has a very good home field advantage, which would equate to 7.5 or maybe 8 on a neutral field. Washington won that game and I was on Utah in that game who played terribly in the red zone. However, Utah has since lost their QB Huntley, and RB Moss who made up 84% of their offense on the season. I think those two plays on an offense that lacks play makers to begin with are worth a total of 4 points, which would make this line 11.5 or 12, but it is at 5.5. Now Kyle Whittingham is one of the best head coaches as a dog, 14-5-1 in his last 20, but I think he is in a tough spot here with backup players at key positions. We saw Utah's offense struggle against Colorado, then they stepped up against BYU, a tougher defense, and here they are stepping up yet again against Washington, an even stronger defense. On paper they had 35 points last week, but were held under 300 yards, and they definitely exported a ton of effort in the come back by 20 points in the Holy War rivalry.

Washington on the flip side is getting healthy. RB Myles Gaskin had his best game, and LT Trey Adams returned after missing the first 10 games, a major reason why. Adams a pre-season All-American, and I think Browning really missed him as Washington ranked 80th protecting the QB this year. Browning also missed TE Hunter Bryant, who is his security blanket, and missed 9 games this year off his best game last week in the snow against Washington State with 108 yards receiving. Add it all up and I see no way Washington could lose this game unless Washington just goes nuts turning the ball over and poor play on special teams.

We are getting 10.5 points of value in this teaser as UAB was just a 3 point favorite a week ago in this same matchup now a 1.5 point dog, because they lost 27-3, but had nothing to play for knowing they were already going to this game, and would play the Blue Raiders again. UAB did not play 3 starters along the offensive line and their starting RB, and their #1 pass rush did not show their blitz scheme that would give MIddle Tennessee issues here in my opinion as the Blue Raiders rank 85th in sack % allowed.

The weather is also going to be issue with rain, and 15mph winds for this game. That favors UAB who runs the ball 62% of the time, and is better at running the ball and stopping the run than Middle Tennessee. I think this is a close game and lean towards the under as well, but I love the value we are getting here in the teaser with Washington.