Texas A&M -16.5 3.3% play
Head Coach Jimbo Fisher has stated that A&M needs to finish and learn to dominate. The UAB team that comes into this game 9-1 will have their focused. This is especially true as they let the Auburn game get away late when they had a 10 point lead. We saw it late in the Ole Miss game as A&M did not stop, and had a late cover at Ole Miss. I see a team that is far superior in talent, and the match-up favors A&M and at home the Aggies are 5-0 ATS, even outgained Clemson by 88 yards.
Texas A&M has faced one of the toughest schedules all year, while UAB has faced one of the weakest.
This is a big mismatch when you factor in that UAB is a one dimensional offense that relies heavily on the running game. They run the ball 65% of the time, and rank 26th doing it, but here they'll face a running defense that ranks 9th in stopping the run, and they have faced an average rushing offense of 39.33. A&M's weakness is in pass defense, but that's not something UAB does well ranking 85th despite facing an average opponent QB Rating defense of 87.7.
This is going to be a game dominated in the trenches by A&M, and as I mentioned earlier they won't let up. I see this game a similar final to when UAB stepped up against Florida last year losing 36-7 as a 10.5 point dog.

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