Arkansas +445 1% play on the money line - listing this a second time for record purposes.
Arkansas +13.5 3.3% play w/ Arkansas +445 7:30pm on SEC
Arkansas has a shot here if this turns into just a game in the trenches. LSU ranks 82nd in running the ball compared to Arkansas who ranks 35th, and really coming on strong in their last 4 games. I get that Alabama probably did not have their full attention, but Arkansas did put up 31 points on Alabama at home. LSU, just got their bubble burst against Alabama and you have to wonder where they are mentally. Arkansas has also been good at stopping the run ranking 61st compared to LSU who has now fallen to 80th.
Arkansas has faced LSU the last 4 years following their game with Alabama. They lost badly the last two years, but had won the previous 2, and the only time they came off a bye like they are here they shut out LSU 17-0. Arkansas has 7 losses, but they are still playing for their first SEC win. With MIss State, and Missouri on deck this is their best shot believe it or not because those are road games. LSU has not exactly been lights out on the road, and their wins look a lot impressive now. Their game on neutral field against Miami to open the season does not look good at all, their 1 point miracle win at Auburn looks bad, as Tennessee beat them by 6. Their loss by 8 at Florida even looks worse when you consider Florida has lost twice at home as favorites losing last week by 21 to Missouri, a team that did not have an SEC win, and to Kentucky by 8 earlier in the season.
In 3 of the last 4 games LSU has given up over 200 yards, and I expect Arkansas to be in this game, because of their play in the trenches. Chad Morris style is really more in the passing game, but Arkansas is running the ball over 54% of the time. I also think a first year head coach coming off the bye is always dangerous. We saw it earlier this season in the SEC with Jeremy Pruitt winning as a big dog at Auburn.
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