Miami Ohio +4.5 2.2% play
Miami has been playing better having just taken two of the best non power 5 teams to the 4th quarter in Army and Buffalo who combine fora 16-3 record. Meanwhile Ohio just got down pounding the crap out of 3 awful teams. Western Michigan the most recent one, who were fighting injuries including losing their starting QB. Ohio who relies on the run 63% of their play calls are running plays behind their QB Nathan Rourke who is a dual threat guy. They just went up against 96th, 126th, and 97th ranked rushing defense, and here they'll face Miami Ohio who ranks 29th. MIami Ohio also even better in conference play allowing 3.17 ypc, and they are +1.55 ypc in conference play which is better than Ohio's advantage.
Ohio was typically a team relying on defense in past year, but this year their defense has looked pretty awful ranking 100th in yards per play and 101st in success rate allowed. I think Gus Ragland who did not play last year in this match-up can take advantage in a game that they are desperate for a win. Ragland the Sr. QB has this offense on a roll having scored 30+ points in 6 straight games. They have a balanced group and going up against an Ohio defense that has not been very good. Their 100th ranked ypp defense is against an average opponent ranking 81.25 in offensive YPP.
