Maryland/Mich St Under 46 2.2% 

There will be 16 mph winds in this game with gusts up to 30mph winds.  We have two teams that are run first programs.  Maryland is actually 3rd in yards per carry, but struggle when they step up in competition against teams that can stop the run, and Michigan State is 4th in the country against the run.  The last time they played a good defense in windy conditions it was Iowa and they scored 0 points.  On the flip side Maryland is very good defending the run ranking 37th.  Michigan State likes to throw the ball a bit more than previous seasons, but it's mainly because they play from behind, and with a freshman QB making his first start on the road I expect a more conservative approach.  The last 3 totals in this match-up have been 24, 45, and 31.