Georgia has not looked good in the trenches in their two games against top 30 opponents Missouri, and LSU. Though they won at MIssouri they gave up 4 rushing TD's, and were lucky to have been +2 TO margin. They lost at LSU 2 weeks ago at the line of scrimmage as LSU rushed for 275 yards compared to Georgia's 113. Florida hosted LSU and beat them by out rushing them 215 to 180. I really don't see much separating these two teams other than the QB position which I give an edge to Jake Fromm, but he has a ton of pressure on him this week with a freshman QB breathing down his back all year long.
The big question here is whether or not Florida can run the ball? I believe the answer is yes, and I think they will outgain Georgia on the ground in this game. Florida has faced tougher run defenses #63 compared to #73 for Georgia in run defense, and their offense has faced a much tougher run defense schedule facing #56 run defense on average compared to Georgia who has faced #70. Georgia ranks 73rd in yards per carry allowed, and hasn't faced a ton of teams that excel at running the ball. Florida ranks 28th in running the ball and 56th at stopping the run, but they have been getting better with every week.
I mentioned the QB play of Fromm being the one advantage that Georgia had, but Georgia is not the same team as last year. They have not protected Fromm or given him much time as they rank 81st in sack % allowed and that's with facing an average pass rush ranking 83.5. Here Florida comes in ranking 18th at getting to the QB. Feleipe Franks for Florida has taken care of the ball and the offensive line has done a great job at protecting him as they rank 32nd in pass protection efficiency and will go up against a Georgia defense that ranks 107th at getting to the QB.
Florida also has the edge in special teams, and Georgia' spunting game has been very shaky this season which could lead to a field position edge for Florida. Florida also ranks 11th in TO margin having faced an average opponent ranking 62 in TO margin. Compare that with Georgia who ranks 41st having faced an opponent ranking 75th. More than likely that tells us that Florida should win the TO battle if anything, and that makes sense as they have been really good at getting to the QB.
