Western Michigan -5 2.2% play
This is a bad spot for Toledo, who is down this year. They have a quick turnaround (played Saturday) and have to go on the road after their defense was on the field for 96 plays, and 40 of the 60 minutes. Western Michigan who loves to run the ball should be able to control this game, as they rank 27th in yards per carry going up against a Toledo defense that ranks 111th in defending the run. Western Michigan is also pretty good throwing the ball ranking 38th in QB rating while Toledo has not been able to protect their QB ranking 11th in QB Sack % allowed. That's not a good situation to be in going on the road against a team that ranks 42nd in sack %.
