I will go with the home dog in this spot.. First of all Monroe has faced a much more difficult schedule than Georgia Southern along the way at #197 compared to #309 for Georgia Southern. Both teams have top 100 adjusted defenses with offenses that struggle. I took a look at what each team did against top 100 defenses and LA Monroe was more impressive at 2-2 facing Florida on the road they took them to OT, and they lost by only 8 at New Mexico. Actually all 4 of their games vs. top 100 defenses came on the road so it's no shock to me why their offense has struggled this year. Meanwhile Georgia Southern went 3-1, but they played TExas State twice who is ranked 275th in 2 point defense where as Monroe carries a top 50 2 point and 3 point % defense. Georgia also had the advantage of playing 2 of those games at home, but now they are on the road where Monroe should also enjoy the rebounding edge. Also worth noting is the fact that Georgia Southern is ranked 92nd in 2 point defense but on the road they are allowing 46.5% compared to Monroe who is allowing 41.4% at home. Remember Monroe has had a more challenging schedule to get there.


Murray State an excellent team is looking ahead to their match up with Eastern Kentucky who beat them last year in March at home. SIU does a few things well enough to keep this game close and maybe even have a chance to shock Murray.. I'm betting it stays in single digits.

Where to find Freddy?