This is a hidden gem in my opinion as UTSA is off 3 misleading victories over arguably the three worst teams in college football, Rice, UTEP, Texas STate who are a combined 0-14 vs. FBS. The strength of schedule for UTSA can't get worse at #126, and their offense ranks #130 having faced an average defense ranking #91 in yards per play. How is that possible? Here they are stepping up in competition in a big way and it's just a bad match-up.

UTSA can't run the ball ranking #119 having faced a defenses that rank #97.5 on average. So they have turned to their QB more often than not passing the ball 53% of the time, and they rank #127 in QB Rating. #127 is against an average defense ranking #83.8 and here they face a pass defense from Louisiana Tech that ranks #24.

Louisiana TEch's offense will have success putting up yards and points in my opinion as they step down in competition in a major way. QB J'mar Smith while they rank 103rd in QB Rating has faced the #36 on average pass defense. Here they face #116. The road environment won't bother him as they have already played 3 road games. J'mar Smith has 9 TD's and 5 INT's which is actually quite impressive given the strength of schedule they have faced. We are getting some line value here as well as La Tech just lost at UAB 7-28. Louisiana Tech will score 30+ points here, and should be enough for an easy cover.