Tulane +15 2.2% play
Tulane is getting just 28% of the tickets and 37% of the money and we have seen this line move about 5 points. Tulane is desperate for a win, and I think they will be in this game. Their record is misleading here as they are 13 points away from being 3-1 instead of 1-3. Their strength of schedule is far superior to Memphis. Memphis has faced offensive/defensive rankings - 102/101, 100/129, and 92/86 + an FCS foe. Compare that with Tulane who has faced 96/108 - That's Wake Forest and we know those #'s are much better, 54/88, and 8/31.
Tulane played Wake Forest a very good offense to the wire and they get a similar look in Memphis, a team that is pretty balanced and wants to run up tempo. They really held Wake Forest offense in check and that was very impressive. Wake Forests numbers have been down due to play a tough schedule themselve featuring BC and Notre Dame.
This is the best offense that Memphis has faced and that's really not saying much. Jonathan Banks has to be able to throw it and the offense has to be able to run the ball here at home on a Friday night I expect they will be able to. Memphis gave up 264 rushing yards against Navy in a sloppy game that saw them turn it over 4 times. There could be rain and similar conditions here tonight.
Memphis is also banged up on defense here with guys missing practice traveling on a short week there is value on Tulane. Memphis was 4 TD favorite last week and they were tied with South Alabama at half time yet they keep getting steamed up and we will come back in on the other side and take the value as I have this game around 11.5 not 15!
