Over 75% of the tickets are on UCF, but 56% of the money is on PItt and the line that opened up at 14.5 is down to 13. From a #'s perspective I have this around 10.5 or 11. So, I still think 13 is a decent # here, and it might be worth waiting if you can grab a 14 at your book later in the week, but overall I feel good about Pitt's chances here.

Pitt the last two years they have knocked off a #2 team in the nation. Last year they knocked off Miami to close the year and the year before they knocked off Clemson on the road so it would not surprise me if they knocked another team in the top rankings off here. IT's worth noting that they won those two games coming off a loss. Pat Narduzzi already challenging his team's effort against North Carolina last week so I think he will get their best effort here.

UCF has a 16 game winning streak and are self proclaimed National Champions, but this team is a different team all together this year. Their offense is still very good led by McKenzie Milton, but something tells me that they are due for a trip up, and they have a ton of pressure here to try to blow out Pitt. UCF has played Uconn, SC State and FAU, a team that is not as good as last year, but still managed to rush for 320 yards against UCF.

If Pitt is smart they will slow this game down and run the ball. So far this season they are averaging 5.44 yards per carry and they ran for more than 200 yards against both North Carolina and Penn State. UCF has given up 320 to FAU, and 220 to Uconn in week 1.