Kentucky is a hot pick right now and everyone is picking them over South Carolina this week. I am high on Kentucky, and I even bet them at Florida, but I think this is a different match-up. This is the first time Kentucky is in the AP Top 25 in 11 years and they are facing an unranked team yet they are only a 1 point favorite? They have actually dominated South Carolina over the last 4 years winning 4 straight, but they are only a 1 point favorite? Kentucky is actually just 0-8 ATS in their last 8 games as a home favorite, and South Carolina has covered their last 8 road games.

This is a different South Carolina that Kentucky has to go against this week compared to Florida and Miss State who they took down as double digit dogs. Florida and Miss State can not pass the ball and are one dimensional on offense. South Carolina with Jake Bentley and their star receivers can move the ball through the air which should open up some running lanes. The strength of this Kentucky team is in the front 7, and South Carolina's offensive line has been very good protecting the QB ranking 9th in sack % allowed.

South Carolina is a balanced offense and although they rank similarly in yards per play at #20 to Miss State and Florida who ranked 18th and 22nd the strength of schedule South Carolina has faced to get there is totally different. Miss State ranks 18th, but faced YPP defenses of 100th, 122 and an FCS foe. Florida ranks 22nd but faced 126, 95 and an FCS foe. South Carolina ranks 20th, can pass the ball, and played 116th, 23rd, and 41st ranked defenses.

South Carolina is also led by a defensive minded coach. They held Benny Snell to 103 rushing yards on 32 carries which is pretty damn good in last year's game. South Carolina will force Terry Wilson at QB to beat them and so far he has 2 TD's and 4 INT's. This is simply a bad matchup for Kentucky.