Just 3 weeks ago Ohio would have been a 3 point favorite, but Cincinnati is 3-0 SU & ATS after some big wins including one as a double digit road dog at UCLA to open up the season. They beat Miami Ohio as a pk in rough weather conditions 21-0 and here we are.

We are getting serious line value here and Ohio finally looked like Ohio in the second half against Virginia last week. They face a freshman QB here, and they will face a very obvious play strategy as Cinci has run the ball 50+ times in all of their games running it 71% of the time. Ohio is usually stout against the run and their weakness this year is against the pass. This total has dropped by nearly 7 points expecting a lower scoring game I'll take the dog with a shot to pull the upset.