App State +24 2.2% play
You will be paying a premium to back Penn State who is #10 in the pre-season polls but will be taking a step back offensively and defensively this year. Penn State returns just 10 starters and I know they have their starting QB back, but they lose their offensive coordinator who changed everything for this program the last two years where they went 19-8 ATS mainly because of the offense. James Franklin was on the hot seat before that going 10-16 ATS.
App State is a tough team that plays will in these big games. They lost by only 21 at Georgia last year, a team that played for the National Championship, and nearly beat Tennessee who was ranked in the top 10 in 2016, losing by just 7 points on the road. There are a lot of things to like including Penn State looking ahead ot a big in-state road game at Pitt in week #2. With inexperienced offensive coordinator calling the plays I don't expect to see the ultra aggressive offensive style of pay.

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