I like Umass here who played last week and scored 63 points. They have a ton of talent on offense led by seniors including QB Andrew Ford. They have gone 5-1 ATS vs. power 5 schools the last two seasons and nearly won outright last year in SEC country against the likes of Tennessee and Miss State. They have had all offseason to think about the possibilities of defeating an in-state big brother like Boston College who got a ton of hype in the offseason. So much hyp that their season win total rose from 5.5 to 7 points. They'll have to contend with a Umass team that is 8-2 ATS the last two seasons as an away dog who will be playing with a ton of confidence following last week's game.

Boston College was a run first team in 2017 and I don't expect much to change in 2018 as they ran the ball 62% of the time. That keeps the clock ticking and gives us a good chance of covering the 18 with Umass who has a good offense and the potential of pulling an upset.