Old Dominion +295 2% Play
First of all Old Dominion's bowl hopes are still alive at 3-6 and after their 6-0 win last week according to head coach Wilders the energy in the locker room has changed. The key here is whether or not they can run and stop the run. That has been the key to victory for them this year In wins they have been allowing just 3.17 ypc with only 2 TD's. While in their losses they gave up 4.81 ypc and 21 TD's. Now Old Dominion faces an FIU team that does not run teh ball very well as they are averaging just 3.81 ypc in conference and allowing 4.78. I think Old Dominion could have some success here and pull out the victory behind the running game of Ray Lawry who had 194 yards and 3 TD's last year.
The weather is also not supposed to be great 17 mph winds with moderate rain which will favor what Old Dominion wants to do in this game. FIU already has 6 wins, and won't want this game as much with Florida Atlantic on deck that game is much more important. FIU is really not a good offensive team when you take away their two 30+ point games they are only averaging 16.8 ppg. I mentioned their struggles to run the ball, their QB Alex McGough has 9TD's to 7 INT's. FIU has also covered the spread by 2+ TD's in 3 of their last 4 weeks which means you are paying a premium to play them. Old Dominion +9.5 is a good play, but I think they win this game outright as they are well coached. They don't commit a lot of penalties and they have the better special teams.
