Missouri -13.5 1.1% Free Play
I like Missouri who loves to run the score up against non-power 5 schools. Idaho coming off a tough loss to Appalachian State at home as they blew a 20-0 lead. Idaho has lost 4 of their last 5 games and just aren't a very good team on offense and they have struggled at points against good offenses. They will now go on the road to face a Missouri team who probably has the most balanced offense they have seen all year. As this offense can run, but also pass behind the arm of Drew Lock. Idaho on paper has the 39th ranked defense, but they have faced 1 team in the top 60 in yards per play and gave up 44 points. I think Missouri needs a feel good win here and could put up 50+.
Missouri since there bye has played a lot better. When you look at it they were actually tied vs. Georgia 21-21 in the first half last week before depth of Georgia took over. Drew Lock was actually really impressive in that game throwing 4 TD's and only 1 INT on the road. The week before they nearly upset Kentucky on the road as a double digit dog as it was 34-34. Again Drew Lock seemed to show big improvements throwing 3 TD's and 0 INT and the running game averaged 6.5ypc. Their biggest issue has been 15 turnovers and they go up against a team that has only forced 6 all year. They beat a non-power 5 school team this year 72-43. Last year they beat Eastern Michigan 61-21, Delaware State 79-0. With Lock playing with confidence I can see the offense playing with a balanced approach setting themselves up for 2 wins in a row with Uconn on deck.
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