Tulane +11.5 3.3% & ML +370 0.5%
South Florida has to be peaking ahead to Houston at home next week and that's a dangerous proposition when you are facing an option team on the road. South Florida has played the easiest schedule and their defense that is looking like a top 25 unit is not! South Florida has only faced one offense ranked in the top 100 in yards per play. Yet they are still allowing 17.2 points per game. Tulane is ranked 65th, and has a unique offense that has put up points this year. Let's not forget the 62 they hung on Tulsa the week before last.
I feel like we are getting excellent value with Tulane here off the loss as a double digit favorite. Meanwhile, South Florida beat Cinci 33-3, but Cinci turned the ball over twice in the red zone, and threw a pick six to end the half on an untimed play otherwise our pick of Cinci +24 last week would have been a winner. Remember, South Florida's run defense last year was not very good allowing 4.48 yards per carry and their match up with Navy, a triple option they gave up 317 at home. The only game Tulane did not rush for 200 yards was against Navy where they had 191 and they nearly won that game. I see Tulane bouncing back and even having a shot to pull the upset here as South Florida looks ahead to Houston.

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