66.7% WINNERS +17.07 UNITS!
Let's start by saying the Nationals have lost 36 road games this year of those thirty six, 77.8% of them have come by more than one run! Make no mistake the Nationals have won 4 of their last 5 but they face a tough RHP today that they have never faced before with the exception of a few players who have been traded to the Nationals like Morgan who is 1-11 in his time with the Pirates. As a team combined they are 2-20 vs. Gallardo.
More on Gallardo here he has a 3.09 ERA and has been consistent at home and on the road with an ERA at home of 3.03. During day starts he has flat out dominated with a 2.36ERA. His main issue is walking batters and that is the only way the Nationals will get to him. My one worry here and is the reason why I'm not taking this as a POD is the Nationals are ranked 2nd in the NL and 5th overall in taking walks. Don't think the Brewers don't know this and I expect Gallardo to go right after these guys. Note the Nats are also 7th in the league in strikeouts so that evens out. Nationals are 11-50 in their last 61 road games vs. a RH starter.
J.D. Martin will make his 1st road start of his career and he'll face some intimidating hitters in Fielder and Braun to name a few. Brewers have been hitting RHP well as of late .314avg L5 and .291 L10 games. I expect them to be patient and get to the young RHP who lasted just 4IP giving up 5ER against the Mets in his 1st start.
