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9-3 L12 LNF PLAYS!
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65.2% WINNERS +16.18 UNITS![/b:j2mdyc8q][/size:j2mdyc8q][/center:j2mdyc8q]
[size=150:j2mdyc8q][color=#FF0000:j2mdyc8q][b:j2mdyc8q]Freddy Wills's Pick[/b:j2mdyc8q][/size:j2mdyc8q]

Okay we've got Lincecum vs. Bailey and I'm very confident in this play it is not a premium play because I like a lot of other plays on the card today so stay tuned! Giants are 37-16 at home winning 78.4% of their wins by more than 1 run. Now is the time to strike with the run line as the Giants still have this image of being offensively challenged, but I disagree and the addition of Freddy Sanchez has sparked this club. The Giants are averaging .324 and 5.81 runs per 9 innings vs. RHP. Giants over last 10 .308 and 5.19/9.

Better yet Lincecum on the mound with a 1.64 ERA over last 3 starts and has a 1.92 ERA at home. Lincecum has a 1.92 ERA at home and a 0.89ERA over his last 4 home starts and the Reds have never faced him.. The Reds who have struggled offensively won't get much help here today as they are batting .193 against RHP and are scoring just 3.43 runs per 9 over their last 10. They send Bailey to the mound where the Reds are 1-10 in his last 11 as a dog. He has the 8.22 ERA over his last three starts and the Reds are 22-31 on the road losing 80.6% of those road losses by 1+ run.

Last stat, the Giants are just 14-8 in Lincecum starts this year if you followed him you haven't made much money however if you played the run line you cashed in as Lincecum and the Giants have won by more than 1 run in 13 of his 14 team wins.