77-36 (68.8%) +110.68 units of profit! (+$110,680)
This has been a very frustrated week for POD's It's win one lose one...Tomorrow I will not have a play as I have a wedding to go to this evening and won't be getting back into town until late on Sunday I tell this to you now so you all don't expect a play from me. I do not believe in picking games out of a hat to simply provide a play every day. Although I may have better luck doing that based on how my plays have been going.
Back to tonight's POD which is on the Dodgers a steep money line to play I know, but it falls under my rule of -170 or better. The only reason I'm having such a high favorite is I"m really not liking today's card at all so we are going with it. Dodgers will send Kershaw to the mound who we followed last time. Unfortunately for us he had 6 BB in 4 IP and was bounced for the game. If he finds his control he's that pitcher who has a 2.06 ERA at home. He has been solid on the bounce back. The two other times where he had 5 or more walks he bounced back with a 2BB performance and if he does that here today he can go deep into the game against the Braves who have yet to see Kershaw in their career. He'll face a lineup without Chipper Jones and their leaders or who I consider to be their most important players Escobar/Mcclouth/McCann all have trouble with LHP. Escobar who is their X-factor and quickly or is already the best SS in the NL East is batting just .259 vs. LHP, McClouth and McCann are both below .200 at .197 and .189 so I see them having trouble getting things started at least the 1st time around the lineup which should provide Kershaw with enough confidence to finish a solid performance.
Dodgers will face Kawakami the 34 year old Japanese rookie is 1-5 in his last 6 with 4 days rest and he's got a 5.57 ERA on the road this year. He has also not seen the Dodgers so I can see the Dodger hitters struggling also, but I'll take the Dodgers at home with that lineup vs. Atlanta's lineup minus Chipper any day. Dodgers are hitting .309 vs. RHP scoring 6.03 runs per 9 innings in their last 5 vs. RHP and their bullpen at home has been solid this year with a 2.91 ERA.
Dodgers are 22-10 in Game 3's their best record of any game of the series and they are 12-4 in Kershaws last 16 as home favorites with Kershaw on the mound.
