[size=150:1yys4bkk][color=#FF0000:1yys4bkk][b:1yys4bkk]Freddy Wills's Pick[/b:1yys4bkk][/color:1yys4bkk]
This game really reminds me of a couple of games yesterday. The Falcons went to the 49ers as the better team yet a whacky line of +1.5 and they dominated 45-10, and the other one was my POD from yesterday with the Seahawks -1.5 against the Jaguars. Jaguars went on to win 41-0. I feel like the Jets are the better team here and the Dolphins are not the same team as last year. Jets are clearly better than they were last year and it's because of their defense. Despite being without Calvin Pace their first 4 games the defense has been superb not even allowing the high scoring Saints to score an offensive TD until the 4th quarter. The Jets still lost that game and that is the reason I think the Jets win here tonight. This team will be focused especially defensively coming off the loss. Rex Ryan saw this "Wild Cat" offense twice last year once in the regular season and once in the playoffs. Dolphins rushed for just 129 yards on 43 carries in the two games combined. They also forced Pennington to throw a total of 5 interceptions and he's a QB that does not throw many INTs. Jets now have the liberty of facing an inexperienced QB in Chad Henne and I believe the Jets will force him to beat them.
Jets who lost to the Dolphins in the last game of the season last year will be well motivated to continue their dominance over the Dolphins in this rich rivalry. Jets are 20-5-2 ATS in the last 27 meetings. In their loss last year the Dolphins had 126 yards on 29 carries, look for a major improvement in that number and for this to be a low scoring game. I expect a lot of low risk plays from Sanchez early screens etc., but don't be surprised to see him take some shots down the field to the new WR Braylon Edwards.
