Shields posting a 2.68 ERA in the last 3 years in April with Bumgarner at 2.64 with both bullpens behind them playing in San Diego where both offenses struggling I think we are looking at 3-1 type ball game.


We are getting great value here with the Angels with this line dropping 30 points here. First of all Weaver struggled in his first start against Seattle on the road, but that's nothing new for him. Weaver is never going to have the sexy raw stats, but I'll take him at home at this number where he has posted a 2.57 ERA over the last 3 years. He's also posted a 2.84 ERA over that time in April/May starts and a 1.38 ERA vs. the Royals. Guthrie on the other hand has not had as great success with a .843 OPS vs. the Angels hitters allowing 10 HR in 157 AB. He has 30 GS in April/May over the last 3 years and an ERA over 4.20. KC has started hot this year, but still even the best teams lose about 40% of their games.