Broncos @ Chargers (8:35pm et)

[size=150:15mwpn4x][color=#FF0000:15mwpn4x][b:15mwpn4x]Freddy Wills's Pick[/b:15mwpn4x][/color:15mwpn4x]

Yesterday was a 1/2 point loss on our POD with the Steelers winning by 13 on a 13.5 spread. Tonight we look to bounce back with the Chargers who are 5-0-1 ATS vs. Broncos last 3 years. Chargers vs. Broncos is a heated rivalry that took a step back when Cutler was traded. Now Orton leads the Broncos and their defense has pushed them to 5-0 shockingly.

I'm not buying it, because Broncos finally play a good team on the road. They have played poor offensive teams, with the exception of the Patriots and Cowboys whom they played at home where they have the advantage. Monday night they go on the road to face the 13th ranked offense and the 3rd ranked passing game. Chargers are ranked dead last running the ball, but I think that number is fudged because they have faced an average ranked defense of 9th. On the Broncos side they have the #1 defense and the #1 for points scored against. However, how accurate are those ranks when they have played an average offensive attack that is ranked 17th, and an average points scored of 20th. I'm not saying the Broncos aren't for real they clearly are, but this is the first road game they are facing a quality opponent of this magnitude inside the division. Well week 1 they faced the Bengals and won on a miracle, but the Chargers should have more offense than the Bengals had in that game.

Chargers coming off the bye were able to recover from some injuries and tighten things up on defense as they dropped a guy and picked up a DL. The three teams who played off a bye on Sunday all played well. The Saints destroyed the Giants, and the Packers shut out the Lions while the Bears played well enough to beat a very good Falcons team on the road. Now the Chargers faced the Broncos off an emotional victory against the Broncos on Monday night on the road against the Chargers a team that beat them 52-21 last year. I expect an aggressive hungry Chargers team that will get it done by a TD tonight. They'll get up early by 14 points and you'll see Merriman very active in the backfield in this game.

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