This is a good spot to take the Jays as a small favorite at home. First of all we have Chris Tillman on the mound going on the road on just 4 days rest to face the Jays who he has struggled against. He's actually off 105 pitches in his last game as well and in his last 4 vs. Toronto he has an ERA near 9.00. Over the last 3 years he's got an ERA at nearly 7 for his starts at Toronto who have a .877 OPS against. The good thing for the Jays is they have been hitting the ball despite struggles from two of their best hitters, but it appears Edwin Encarnacion has figured it out as he belted 2 HR in Tuesday's game and has hit Tillman hard in the past.
Jays will counter with Hutchison who has struggled to start the year in 2 of his 3 starts, but he's a bounce back pitcher and is following 2 poor starts and will be on 5 days rest. He's got a career 2.29 ERA vs. the Orioles and a 1.71 ERA in 4 home starts against them. I'm betting he bounces back and the Jays also have the better bullpen as Baltimore ranks 27th in bullpen ERA.
