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This is decent value here for the home team although they have the bullpen disadvantage they have the advantage on the mound here. Wei-Yen Chen has allowed 3 ER or less in 9 of his last 10 starts vs. the Rays and he's got a career 3.26 ERA over 13 against them. He's on extra rest here (7 days) and the Orioles have gone 21-8 in his last 29 home starts. Baltimore offensively has the clear cut advantage and Nate Karns should not scare them. IN fact in 30 AB against him they have a 1.132 OPS. Karns is also walking 5 per 9 innings and has been lucky that his ERA isn't worse than the numbers show considering the .194 batting average balls in play. That's extremely lucky and I think he has a tough task ahead of him facing the Orioles who are scoring 6.59 runs per 9 vs. RHP at home this year.
