Utah is 5-1 ATS as a dog or favorite from -2.5 to 2.5 points this year. Utah may be playing it's best basketball right now with 56 assists to 14 turnovers in their last two games. Utah is 0-8 this season when they have less than 23 assists. That is something the Jazz had in their last match up in Cleveland when they had 20 assists and 18 turnovers. Yet they only lost by 4 in that game. Good news the Jazz will be at home tonight and they will have their PG Derron Williams who leads the team in assists.
Utah is 10-3 ATS in the last 13 at home and they want to take care of the Cavs really bad here. Jazz will have revenge in this game and they will also add in Kyle Korver a good perimeter shooter tonight who did not play against the Cavs in the first match up. Worth noting is that the Jazz had just 7 players in rotation for that game. It is a huge challenge to win an NBA game when you had 7 players in rotation. Utah is 6-0 ATS in their last 6 Thursday games. Cavs are 0-5 ATS in the last 5 following a straight up win.
The Jazz are also playing their best defense of the season giving up just 91.6ppg and allowing 41.8% from the field in their last 5 games compared to 45.4% from the field for the season. They have played some good teams in the Heat, Mavericks, Hornets and Memphis who is #6 in FG % offense in the last 5 games. In the first game they actually out rebounded Cleveland by 10. However, they also just shot 25% from three where they are averaging 38.8% from there at home. That should be the difference with Williams and Korver back in the lineup. Cleveland is not exactly killing it in 3 point defense as of late with 44% in their last 5 games. Jazz at home are a good pick and I believe they get this game.
